ADT 0-1 Ayacucho FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
68%
-12.7pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.6pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADT EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayacucho FC EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
1.57/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.47
-21% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +9%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
363 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 194 · 70%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
24.5 Crosses 14.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADT
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Ayacucho FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
3.01 xG 1.44
34% Ball Possession 66%
22 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
140 Passes 327
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 4
13.08.2022 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 1-2 HT 1-0 ADT ADT PER
20.03.2022 ADT ADT 0-0 HT 0-0 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADT
0-1
AWAY Ayacucho FC
1.93 xG 0.91
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
337 Passes 163
79% Pass Accuracy 65%
36 Box Touches 13
31 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH ADT vs Ayacucho FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayacucho FC nicked a narrow win over ADT 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had ADT at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ADT had 64% of the ball to Ayacucho FC's 36%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.93 to 0.91 — the balance of chances actually favoured ADT.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, ADT had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for ADT and 0.50 for Ayacucho FC.

What was the final score of ADT vs Ayacucho FC?

ADT 0-1 Ayacucho FC in the Peru - Premier League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADT vs Ayacucho FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADT win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split ADT 56%, draw 24%, Ayacucho FC 21%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (ADT) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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