23/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
1-0
Velka Bites vs Breclav Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
Over
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
48%
4-5
23%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
12%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Velka Bites win — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
57%
Home Win
74%
20%
Draw
16%
23%
Away Win
10%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Velka Bites v Breclav — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Velka Bites
The Market 79%
Head to Head
AWAY
Breclav
The Market 12%
-35% /
-35%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-48%
/
+76%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
62%
Ball Possession
38%
16
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
3
494 · 85%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
251 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Velka Bites vs Breclav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Velka Bites squeezed past Breclav 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Velka Bites as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
What was the final score of Velka Bites vs Breclav?
Velka Bites 2-1 Breclav in the Czech Republic - 4.League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Velka Bites vs Breclav?
Before kick-off our model rated a Velka Bites win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Velka Bites 57%, draw 20%, Breclav 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Velka Bites), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Velka Bites)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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ÇEK4
More Czech Republic - 4.League
23 Mar 2024