Gainsborough Trinity 4-2 Workington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.1pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Workington EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.38/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.96
-13% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Workington
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
21.10.2023 Workington Workington 2-3 HT 1-1 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
4-2
AWAY Workington
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gainsborough Trinity vs Workington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity got the better of Workington 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Gainsborough Trinity found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gainsborough Trinity had 37% of the ball to Workington's 63%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Gainsborough Trinity vs Workington?

Gainsborough Trinity 4-2 Workington in the England - Non League Premier on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainsborough Trinity vs Workington?

Before kick-off our model rated an Workington win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gainsborough Trinity 35%, draw 29%, Workington 37%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Workington) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Workington) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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