Guiseley 1-2 Ilkeston Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
51%
-10.1pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.3pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.5pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guiseley EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +12%
1.81/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.68
+3% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guiseley
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ilkeston Town
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.11.2023 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 1-4 HT 1-3 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guiseley
1-2
AWAY Ilkeston Town
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guiseley vs Ilkeston Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilkeston Town squeezed past Guiseley 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Guiseley at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Guiseley had 54% of the ball to Ilkeston Town's 46%, shots finished 12-11.

What was the final score of Guiseley vs Ilkeston Town?

Guiseley 1-2 Ilkeston Town in the England - Non League Premier on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guiseley vs Ilkeston Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guiseley win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Guiseley 41%, draw 27%, Ilkeston Town 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Guiseley) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guiseley) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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