Kettering Town 2-0 Alvechurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.0pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kettering Town EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 32%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -20%
1.42/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.65
-14% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kettering Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Alvechurch
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.11.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 1-1 HT 0-1 Kettering Town Kettering Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kettering Town
2-0
AWAY Alvechurch
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Kettering Town vs Alvechurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kettering Town beat Alvechurch 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kettering Town as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kettering Town had 55% of the ball to Alvechurch's 45%, shots finished 7-7.

What was the final score of Kettering Town vs Alvechurch?

Kettering Town 2-0 Alvechurch in the England - Non League Premier on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kettering Town vs Alvechurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kettering Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kettering Town 43%, draw 29%, Alvechurch 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kettering Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kettering Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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