Redditch United 0-3 Leamington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
36%
3.35
Away
33%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.2pp
36%
Draw
26%
+9.9pp
33%
Away Win
43%
-9.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Redditch United EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Leamington EU Bookmakers 48%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.37/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.51
-5% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Redditch United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Leamington
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
25.11.2023 Leamington Leamington 3-0 HT 0-0 Redditch United Redditch United İNGNLP
07.10.2023 Redditch United Redditch United 2-1 Leamington Leamington FAK
POST-MATCH Redditch United vs Leamington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leamington swept aside Redditch United 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 36% / 33% — and on the day Leamington made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Redditch United and 2.00 for Leamington.

What was the final score of Redditch United vs Leamington?

Redditch United 0-3 Leamington in the England - Non League Premier on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Redditch United vs Leamington?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Redditch United 31%, draw 36%, Leamington 33%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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