23/03/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Stamford vs Leiston Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
24%
Draw
24%
29%
Away Win
27%
47%
Under 2.5
38%
53%
Over 2.5
62%
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
44%
BTTS No
37%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stamford v Leiston — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Stamford
EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Leiston
EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% /
-11%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+12% /
+32%
1.95/1.48
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.76/1.70
+11%
/
-15%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+35%
/
-3%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
4
237 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
334 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.4
Yellow Cards
1.9
Stamford vs Leiston Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Stamford
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Leiston
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
The Meetings
25.11.2023
Leiston
3-2
HT 1-2
Stamford
İNGNLP
3-2
HT 1-2
Stamford
İNGNLP
POST-MATCH
Stamford vs Leiston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Stamford ran out comfortable winners over Leiston 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stamford as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Stamford vs Leiston?
Stamford 3-0 Leiston in the England - Non League Premier on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stamford vs Leiston?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stamford win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Stamford 47%, draw 24%, Leiston 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stamford), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Stamford)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İNGNLP
More England - Non League Premier
23 Mar 2024