Stourbridge 1-1 AFC Sudbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 23 Mar 2024

Stourbridge
1-1
AFC Sudbury
📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

Stourbridge vs AFC Sudbury Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stourbridge v AFC Sudbury — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.69/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.21
-10% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +36%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
407 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Stourbridge vs AFC Sudbury Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stourbridge
1W-0D-0L
AWAY AFC Sudbury
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
25.11.2023 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-2 HT 0-1 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Stourbridge vs AFC Sudbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stourbridge and AFC Sudbury couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Stourbridge at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

What was the final score of Stourbridge vs AFC Sudbury?

Stourbridge 1-1 AFC Sudbury in the England - Non League Premier on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stourbridge vs AFC Sudbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stourbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Stourbridge 46%, draw 23%, AFC Sudbury 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stourbridge), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stourbridge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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