Tiverton Town 2-0 Hanwell Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
45%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.33
Over Pick
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
39%
4-5
23%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
30%
Home Win
39%
-8.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
45%
Away Win
36%
+8.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.2pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tiverton Town The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Hanwell Town The Market 40%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.45/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.19
-8% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
381 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tiverton Town
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Hanwell Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
25.11.2023 Hanwell Town Hanwell Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
01.02.2023 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 2-3 HT 0-3 Hanwell Town Hanwell Town İNGNLP
27.08.2022 Hanwell Town Hanwell Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Tiverton Town vs Hanwell Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tiverton Town beat Hanwell Town 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hanwell Town at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hanwell Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tiverton Town and 1.67 for Hanwell Town.

What was the final score of Tiverton Town vs Hanwell Town?

Tiverton Town 2-0 Hanwell Town in the England - Non League Premier on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tiverton Town vs Hanwell Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hanwell Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tiverton Town 30%, draw 25%, Hanwell Town 45%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hanwell Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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