Manchester City (K) 3-1 Manchester United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
27%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.9pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.4pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.4pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
433 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
Crosses 17.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester City (K)
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Manchester United (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.52 xG 1.10
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
482 Passes 254
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Crosses 11
24.01.2024 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKFAK
19.11.2023 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 1-3 HT 1-2 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
07.09.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City (K)
3-1
AWAY Manchester United (K)
2.30 xG 1.10
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
404 Passes 330
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Manchester City (K) vs Manchester United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City (K) beat Manchester United (K) 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Manchester City (K) as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Manchester City (K) had 53% of the ball to Manchester United (K)'s 47%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 2.30 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Manchester City (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Manchester City (K) and 0.67 for Manchester United (K).

What was the final score of Manchester City (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Manchester City (K) 3-1 Manchester United (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Manchester City (K) 55%, draw 20%, Manchester United (K) 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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