Roma (K) 3-0 Sassuolo (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.22
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.33
No
45%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
78%
-15.1pp
21%
Draw
15%
+5.8pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
39%
+16.0pp
45%
BTTS No
61%
-16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.88/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.29/3.27
+24% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -36%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
500 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 73%
61.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
23.3 Crosses 9.0
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
3.27 xG 0.29
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
532 Passes 311
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
64 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 9
13.02.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
19.11.2023 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma (K)
3-0
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
1.86 xG 0.60
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
377 Passes 235
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roma (K) vs Sassuolo (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma (K) ran out comfortable winners over Sassuolo (K) 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Roma (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Roma (K) had 59% of the ball to Sassuolo (K)'s 41%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.86 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Roma (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Roma (K) and 0.00 for Sassuolo (K).

What was the final score of Roma (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Roma (K) 3-0 Sassuolo (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Roma (K) 63%, draw 21%, Sassuolo (K) 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
23 Mar 2024
14:30 Sampdoria (K) vs Como (K) Analysis →