Valencia (K) 4-1 Granada (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.1pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.3pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia (K) EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia (K)
4-1
AWAY Granada (K)
3.61 xG 1.53
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
206 Passes 234
65% Pass Accuracy 64%
21 Box Touches 33
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valencia (K) vs Granada (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valencia (K) cruised past Granada (K) 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Valencia (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Valencia (K) had 47% of the ball to Granada (K)'s 53%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 3.61 to 1.53.

What was the final score of Valencia (K) vs Granada (K)?

Valencia (K) 4-1 Granada (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia (K) vs Granada (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Valencia (K) 33%, draw 33%, Granada (K) 33%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar More İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
23 Mar 2024
14:00 Tenerife (K) vs Sevilla (K) Analysis →
18:00 Levante (K) vs Real Betis (K) Analysis →
20:00 Real Sociedad (K) vs A. Bilbao (K) Analysis →