New England Revolution 1-1 Chicago Fire — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 23 Mar 2024

New England Revolution
1-1 HT 1-1
Chicago Fire
📅23/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.94
6+ Goals
10%
8.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.41 — our 26% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.74
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
12%
4.84
X/2
15%
7.14
X/X
9%
5.38
2/1
10%
22.7
2/2
9%
4.71
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

New England Revolution v Chicago Fire — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chicago Fire EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.67/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.75
-18% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
21.5 Crosses 17.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New England Revolution
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Chicago Fire
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.40 xG 1.62
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
384 Passes 327
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 27
26 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 2-2 HT 1-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
28.05.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 3-3 HT 2-2 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
09.10.2022 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 1-1 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
01.09.2022 New England Revolution New England Revolution 0-0 HT 0-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
17.10.2021 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-2 HT 0-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
23.09.2021 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 2-3 HT 1-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD

New England Revolution 1-1 Chicago Fire — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
1-1
AWAY Chicago Fire
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
522 Passes 258
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
POST-MATCH New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New England Revolution and Chicago Fire shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was New England Revolution at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, New England Revolution had 64% of the ball to Chicago Fire's 36%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New England Revolution had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for New England Revolution and 1.67 for Chicago Fire.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?

New England Revolution 1-1 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?

Before kick-off our model rated a New England Revolution win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 45%, draw 25%, Chicago Fire 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New England Revolution) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (New England Revolution) ✓ BTTS Yes
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