Dijon (K) 2-0 Guingamp (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
23%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.6pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dijon (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Guingamp (K) EU Bookmakers 31%
-58% / -58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
0.00/6.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.49
-100% / -81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
Crosses 11.0
Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dijon (K)
2-0
AWAY Guingamp (K)
3.24 xG 0.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
22 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 2
290 Passes 341
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dijon (K) vs Guingamp (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dijon (K) got the better of Guingamp (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 30%) promised a tight game; Dijon (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dijon (K) had 46% of the ball to Guingamp (K)'s 54%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 3.24 to 0.20.

What was the final score of Dijon (K) vs Guingamp (K)?

Dijon (K) 2-0 Guingamp (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dijon (K) vs Guingamp (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dijon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dijon (K) 40%, draw 29%, Guingamp (K) 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dijon (K)) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dijon (K)) ✗ BTTS Yes
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