Connahs Quay vs Bala Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Connahs Quay v Bala Town — Team-Based Signals
Connahs Quay vs Bala Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Bala Town
GAL
1-0
HT 0-0
Connahs Quay
GAL
1-2
HT 1-2
Connahs Quay
GAL
3-2
HT 0-1
Connahs Quay
GALWK
1-1
HT 1-0
Bala Town
GAL
Connahs Quay squeezed past Bala Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bala Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Connahs Quay and 1.33 for Bala Town.
What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Bala Town?
Connahs Quay 1-0 Bala Town in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Bala Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 45%, draw 19%, Bala Town 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.