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Ajax (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ajax (K) v PEC Zwolle (K) — Team-Based Signals
Ajax (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
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HT 0-1
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Ajax (K) 3-2 PEC Zwolle (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Ajax (K) squeezed past PEC Zwolle (K) 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Ajax (K) as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (72%) came in.
On the day, Ajax (K) had 62% of the ball to PEC Zwolle (K)'s 38%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.51 to 0.40 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ajax (K)'s control.
What was the final score of Ajax (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K)?
Ajax (K) 3-2 PEC Zwolle (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ajax (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Ajax (K) 75%, draw 13%, PEC Zwolle (K) 12%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.