Omiya Ardija 3-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
65%
-12.9pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+11.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 17%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.09
+150% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +40%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija
3-1
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija beat Tegevajaro Miyazaki 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Omiya Ardija as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Omiya Ardija had 55% of the ball to Tegevajaro Miyazaki's 45%, shots finished 19-8.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Omiya Ardija 3-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki in the Japan - J3 League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 52%, draw 23%, Tegevajaro Miyazaki 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Omiya Ardija) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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