Osaka 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osaka EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.20/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.39
-6% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osaka
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Osaka Osaka 3-1 HT 2-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
03.05.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 HT 0-0 Osaka Osaka JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osaka
0-0
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Osaka vs Matsumoto Yamaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osaka and Matsumoto Yamaga played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Osaka had 58% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 42%, shots finished 19-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Osaka and 1.00 for Matsumoto Yamaga.

What was the final score of Osaka vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Osaka 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga in the Japan - J3 League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osaka vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Osaka 37%, draw 28%, Matsumoto Yamaga 35%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Osaka), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Osaka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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