23/03/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Venados vs Inter de Queretaro Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
35%
30%
Draw
31%
24%
Away Win
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Venados v Inter de Queretaro — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Venados
EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY
Inter de Queretaro
EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% /
+22%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-12%
/
+48%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
46%
Ball Possession
54%
10
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
303 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
356 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Venados vs Inter de Queretaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Venados saw off Inter de Queretaro 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Venados as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
What was the final score of Venados vs Inter de Queretaro?
Venados 2-0 Inter de Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera A on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Venados vs Inter de Queretaro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Venados 46%, draw 30%, Inter de Queretaro 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venados), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Venados)
✓ BTTS No
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MEK2
More Mexico - Primera A
23 Mar 2024