23/03/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Brinkumer SV vs Geestemünde Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
36%
21%
Draw
28%
33%
Away Win
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brinkumer SV v Geestemünde — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Brinkumer SV
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Geestemünde
EU Bookmakers 40%
-46% /
-46%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+1% /
+1%
1.00/3.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.34/2.97
-54%
/
-51%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-10%
/
-32%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
303 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
341 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Brinkumer SV vs Geestemünde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Brinkumer SV edged past Geestemünde 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brinkumer SV as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Brinkumer SV vs Geestemünde?
Brinkumer SV 2-1 Geestemünde in the Germany - Oberliga on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brinkumer SV vs Geestemünde?
Before kick-off our model rated a Brinkumer SV win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Brinkumer SV 46%, draw 21%, Geestemünde 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brinkumer SV), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Brinkumer SV)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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OBER
More Germany - Oberliga
23 Mar 2024