Motor Marienberg 0-3 Ludwigsfelder FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Oberliga, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.66
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
38%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
56%
-15.4pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.0pp
38%
Away Win
19%
+18.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motor Marienberg EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludwigsfelder FC EU Bookmakers 22%
-78% / -78% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 7
13 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
465 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Motor Marienberg vs Ludwigsfelder FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludwigsfelder FC swept aside Motor Marienberg 3-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 21% / 38% — and on the day Ludwigsfelder FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Motor Marienberg vs Ludwigsfelder FC?

Motor Marienberg 0-3 Ludwigsfelder FC in the Germany - Oberliga on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motor Marienberg vs Ludwigsfelder FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motor Marienberg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Motor Marienberg 41%, draw 21%, Ludwigsfelder FC 38%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Motor Marienberg) ✗ Under 2.5
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