Olimpia Grudziadz 1-1 SKRA Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
4.8
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
48%
-11.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.5pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 28%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
0.99/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.57
-40% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
312 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
1W-2D-2L
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.03.2024 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 0-0 HT 0-0 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
09.09.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 5-1 HT 2-1 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
02.09.2023 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 0-0 HT 0-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
15.05.2021 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 2-0 HT 0-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
22.11.2020 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 4-0 HT 0-0 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
POST-MATCH Olimpia Grudziadz vs SKRA Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpia Grudziadz and SKRA Czestochowa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, SKRA Czestochowa led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Olimpia Grudziadz and 1.80 for SKRA Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Olimpia Grudziadz vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Olimpia Grudziadz 1-1 SKRA Czestochowa in the Poland - 2nd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpia Grudziadz vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpia Grudziadz win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Olimpia Grudziadz 36%, draw 30%, SKRA Czestochowa 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL2 More Poland - 2nd Division
23 Mar 2024
15:00 Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs LKS Lodz II Analysis →
16:30 Kalisz vs Stomil Olsztyn Analysis →