Sandecja Nowy Sacz 0-1 LKS Lodz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.78
Over 2.5
55%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.0
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.88
6+ Goals
13%
17.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.88 — our 26% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.1pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandecja Nowy Sacz EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY LKS Lodz II EU Bookmakers 31%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.42/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.63
-9% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandecja Nowy Sacz
0W-0D-1L
AWAY LKS Lodz II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
10.09.2023 LKS Lodz II LKS Lodz II 1-0 HT 0-0 Sandecja Nowy Sacz Sandecja Nowy Sacz POL2
POST-MATCH Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs LKS Lodz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LKS Lodz II nicked a narrow win over Sandecja Nowy Sacz 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sandecja Nowy Sacz at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs LKS Lodz II?

Sandecja Nowy Sacz 0-1 LKS Lodz II in the Poland - 2nd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs LKS Lodz II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandecja Nowy Sacz win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sandecja Nowy Sacz 45%, draw 25%, LKS Lodz II 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sandecja Nowy Sacz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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