Czarni Polaniec 0-1 Karpaty Krosno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 3rd Division, 23 Mar 2024

Czarni Polaniec
0-1
Karpaty Krosno
📅23/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Czarni Polaniec vs Karpaty Krosno Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Czarni Polaniec v Karpaty Krosno — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Czarni Polaniec EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Karpaty Krosno EU Bookmakers 29%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
4.03/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+139% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Czarni Polaniec vs Karpaty Krosno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karpaty Krosno edged past Czarni Polaniec 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Czarni Polaniec at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Czarni Polaniec vs Karpaty Krosno?

Czarni Polaniec 0-1 Karpaty Krosno in the Poland - 3rd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Czarni Polaniec vs Karpaty Krosno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Czarni Polaniec win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Czarni Polaniec 42%, draw 31%, Karpaty Krosno 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Czarni Polaniec) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Czarni Polaniec) ✓ Under 2.5
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