KSZO Ostrowiec 2-2 Orleta Radzyn Podlaski — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 3rd Division, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.3pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.0pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KSZO Ostrowiec EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Orleta Radzyn Podlaski EU Bookmakers 30%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+73% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KSZO Ostrowiec
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Orleta Radzyn Podlaski
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 9
27.08.2023 Orleta Radzyn Podlaski 0-2 HT 0-1 KSZO Ostrowiec KSZO Ostrowiec POL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KSZO Ostrowiec
2-2
AWAY Orleta Radzyn Podlaski
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH KSZO Ostrowiec vs Orleta Radzyn Podlaski
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KSZO Ostrowiec and Orleta Radzyn Podlaski couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was KSZO Ostrowiec at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KSZO Ostrowiec had 54% of the ball to Orleta Radzyn Podlaski's 46%, shots finished 17-11.

What was the final score of KSZO Ostrowiec vs Orleta Radzyn Podlaski?

KSZO Ostrowiec 2-2 Orleta Radzyn Podlaski in the Poland - 3rd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KSZO Ostrowiec vs Orleta Radzyn Podlaski?

Before kick-off our model rated a KSZO Ostrowiec win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split KSZO Ostrowiec 43%, draw 32%, Orleta Radzyn Podlaski 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KSZO Ostrowiec), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KSZO Ostrowiec) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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