Metropolitanos 1-0 Rayo Zuliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.6pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.71/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.64
+0% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -29%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
288 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
28.6 Crosses 14.8
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metropolitanos
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 1.26
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
256 Passes 222
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
12.08.2023 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 1-1 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
01.04.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-1 HT 1-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metropolitanos
1-0
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
1.70 xG 0.34
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
342 Passes 193
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Metropolitanos vs Rayo Zuliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitanos nicked a narrow win over Rayo Zuliano 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Metropolitanos as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Metropolitanos had 61% of the ball to Rayo Zuliano's 39%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 1.70 to 0.34 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Metropolitanos's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Metropolitanos had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Metropolitanos and 1.00 for Rayo Zuliano.

What was the final score of Metropolitanos vs Rayo Zuliano?

Metropolitanos 1-0 Rayo Zuliano in the Venezuela - Premier League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metropolitanos vs Rayo Zuliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metropolitanos win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Metropolitanos 50%, draw 25%, Rayo Zuliano 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metropolitanos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Metropolitanos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VEN More Venezuela - Premier League
23 Mar 2024
02:00 UCV vs Portuguesa FC Analysis →