Chacarita Juniors 1-1 Deportivo Moron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.09
Draw
36%
2.83
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
76%
Over 2.5
24%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.53
No
66%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
44%
-9.7pp
36%
Draw
32%
+4.4pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.3pp
34%
BTTS Yes
36%
-1.8pp
66%
BTTS No
64%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
1.35/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.13
+12% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chacarita Juniors
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Moron
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
13.03.2022 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 0-1 HT 0-1 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
19.03.2014 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Moron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chacarita Juniors and Deportivo Moron shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 36% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (76%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chacarita Juniors and 1.00 for Deportivo Moron.

What was the final score of Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Moron?

Chacarita Juniors 1-1 Deportivo Moron in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chacarita Juniors vs Deportivo Moron?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chacarita Juniors 34%, draw 36%, Deportivo Moron 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
23 Mar 2025
21:30 Ferro Carril Oeste vs Alvarado Analysis →
22:00 Racing Cordoba vs Atletico Atlanta Analysis →
22:00 Almirante Brown vs Chaco For Ever Analysis →
22:00 Defensores De Belgrano vs Talleres Remedios Analysis →
23:00 Club Atletico Guemes vs Deportivo Maipu Analysis →