Club Atletico Guemes 1-1 Deportivo Maipu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.5pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.02/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.19
-16% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Atletico Guemes
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Maipu
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
07.09.2024 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 4-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
22.04.2024 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-1 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
03.07.2022 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Club Atletico Guemes vs Deportivo Maipu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Atletico Guemes and Deportivo Maipu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Club Atletico Guemes at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Club Atletico Guemes had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Club Atletico Guemes and 0.67 for Deportivo Maipu.

What was the final score of Club Atletico Guemes vs Deportivo Maipu?

Club Atletico Guemes 1-1 Deportivo Maipu in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Atletico Guemes vs Deportivo Maipu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Atletico Guemes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Club Atletico Guemes 41%, draw 28%, Deportivo Maipu 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Club Atletico Guemes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Atletico Guemes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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