Adelaide United (K) 3-1 Brisbane Roar (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 23 Mar 2025

Adelaide United (K)
3-1 HT 0-0
Brisbane Roar (K)
📅23/03/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Adelaide United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.0pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.9pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adelaide United (K) v Brisbane Roar (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.24/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.44
-10% / +130% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
12.8 Crosses 16.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Adelaide United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United (K)
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K)
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.20 xG 2.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
297 Passes 344
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.01.2025 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 2-3 HT 1-1 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
16.03.2024 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
14.12.2019 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 3-2 HT 2-1 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
01.02.2019 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
18.11.2018 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
28.01.2018 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 2-4 HT 1-1 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW

Adelaide United (K) 3-1 Brisbane Roar (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adelaide United (K)
3-1
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K)
2.70 xG 0.81
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 9
373 Passes 215
80% Pass Accuracy 65%
26 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Adelaide United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United (K) got the better of Brisbane Roar (K) 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Adelaide United (K) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Adelaide United (K) had 56% of the ball to Brisbane Roar (K)'s 44%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.70 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Adelaide United (K) and 1.83 for Brisbane Roar (K).

What was the final score of Adelaide United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?

Adelaide United (K) 3-1 Brisbane Roar (K) in the Australia - W-League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United (K) 40%, draw 28%, Brisbane Roar (K) 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide United (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Adelaide United (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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