Fortuna Sittard (K) 0-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Sittard (K) EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 28%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-33% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Sittard (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
291 Passes 268
69% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2024 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Fortuna Sittard (K) Fortuna Sittard (K) HOLK1
21.04.2024 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 2-4 HT 1-0 Fortuna Sittard (K) Fortuna Sittard (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Sittard (K)
0-0
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
477 Passes 230
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fortuna Sittard (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Sittard (K) and Excelsior Barendrecht (K) played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Fortuna Sittard (K) at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Fortuna Sittard (K) had 65% of the ball to Excelsior Barendrecht (K)'s 35%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fortuna Sittard (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Fortuna Sittard (K) and 1.50 for Excelsior Barendrecht (K).

What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)?

Fortuna Sittard (K) 0-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Sittard (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard (K) 45%, draw 25%, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 31%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Sittard (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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