Nara Club 3-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
34%
+8.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-5.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nara Club EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
1.49/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
+15% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -61%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.9 Crosses 18.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nara Club
3-1
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
184 Passes 481
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
5 Crosses 21
POST-MATCH Nara Club vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nara Club got the better of ThespaKusatsu Gunma 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nara Club as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Nara Club had 34% of the ball to ThespaKusatsu Gunma's 66%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Nara Club vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Nara Club 3-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma in the Japan - J3 League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nara Club vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nara Club win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nara Club 42%, draw 25%, ThespaKusatsu Gunma 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nara Club), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nara Club) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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