Ryukyu 2-1 Tochigi SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 46%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+8% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
169 · 52% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.3 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ryukyu
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tochigi SC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
381 Passes 327
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2022 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP2
14.05.2022 Ryukyu Ryukyu 1-0 HT 1-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
05.12.2021 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-2 HT 0-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP2
15.05.2021 Ryukyu Ryukyu 4-2 HT 2-2 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
21.10.2020 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 4-1 HT 1-1 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP2
19.08.2020 Ryukyu Ryukyu 2-2 HT 0-1 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ryukyu
2-1
AWAY Tochigi SC
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 10
319 Passes 272
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
9 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ryukyu squeezed past Tochigi SC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Ryukyu found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ryukyu had 54% of the ball to Tochigi SC's 46%, shots finished 8-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ryukyu had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ryukyu and 1.50 for Tochigi SC.

What was the final score of Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC?

Ryukyu 2-1 Tochigi SC in the Japan - J3 League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tochigi SC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ryukyu 32%, draw 28%, Tochigi SC 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tochigi SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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