Bilje 1-0 Ilirija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.02
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.67
Over 2.5
35%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.88
No
60%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-9.2pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.3pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bilje EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilirija EU Bookmakers 29%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -19%
2.09/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.37
+39% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bilje
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ilirija
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2024 Ilirija Ilirija 2-0 HT 0-0 Bilje SLVN2
06.11.2023 Ilirija Ilirija 0-3 HT 0-3 Bilje SLVN2
29.07.2023 Bilje 3-2 HT 3-2 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
22.04.2023 Bilje 0-2 HT 0-1 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
08.10.2022 Ilirija Ilirija 2-1 HT 1-0 Bilje SLVN2
13.11.2021 Ilirija Ilirija 0-0 HT 0-0 Bilje SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bilje
1-0
AWAY Ilirija
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Bilje vs Ilirija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bilje nicked a narrow win over Ilirija 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 31%) promised a tight game; Bilje found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bilje had 48% of the ball to Ilirija's 52%, shots finished 5-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilirija led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bilje and 1.33 for Ilirija.

What was the final score of Bilje vs Ilirija?

Bilje 1-0 Ilirija in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bilje vs Ilirija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bilje win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Bilje 36%, draw 33%, Ilirija 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bilje), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bilje) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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