Richmond Kickers 3-1 Alta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.8pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Alta EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.60/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+10% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.7 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richmond Kickers
3-1
AWAY Alta
2.35 xG 0.93
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
186 Passes 351
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Richmond Kickers vs Alta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Richmond Kickers saw off Alta 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Richmond Kickers made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Richmond Kickers had 39% of the ball to Alta's 61%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 2.35 to 0.93.

What was the final score of Richmond Kickers vs Alta?

Richmond Kickers 3-1 Alta in the USA - USL League 1 on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richmond Kickers vs Alta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Richmond Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Richmond Kickers 40%, draw 27%, Alta 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Richmond Kickers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Richmond Kickers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USL1 More USA - USL League 1
23 Mar 2025
02:00 Spokane Velocity vs Naples Analysis →
03:00 Texoma vs One Knoxville Analysis →