San Carlos 1-3 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 23 Mar 2026

📅23/03/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
13%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
24%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.0pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Carlos EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 54%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
0.95/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.24
-21% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
220 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Carlos
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2026 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 HT 2-1 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
16.10.2025 San Carlos San Carlos 0-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
10.03.2025 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-0 HT 1-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
12.01.2025 San Carlos San Carlos 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
11.12.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-0 HT 2-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
07.12.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 2-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
POST-MATCH San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa saw off San Carlos 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo Saprissa as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for San Carlos and 2.00 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa?

San Carlos 1-3 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 23/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split San Carlos 24%, draw 27%, Deportivo Saprissa 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
23 Mar 2026
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