San Carlos 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
33%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.3pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.4pp
33%
Away Win
40%
-7.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.7pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Carlos EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
0.90/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.28
-30% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
253 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Carlos
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.12.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-0 HT 2-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
07.12.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 2-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
24.11.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
19.09.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-2 HT 2-2 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
20.05.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 4-0 HT 3-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
17.05.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
POST-MATCH San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa edged past San Carlos 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 33% — and on the day Deportivo Saprissa made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for San Carlos and 2.00 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa?

San Carlos 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Carlos win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split San Carlos 35%, draw 32%, Deportivo Saprissa 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (San Carlos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Carlos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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