Alajuelense 6-3 Santa Ana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
62%
-9.8pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.7pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Ana EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.99/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.39
-1% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
422 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Santa Ana
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Santa Ana 0-2 HT 0-2 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
29.07.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-1 HT 1-0 Santa Ana KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
6-3
AWAY Santa Ana
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 10
12 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs Santa Ana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense swept aside Santa Ana 6-3. Half-time: 4-2. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 6-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Alajuelense had 58% of the ball to Santa Ana's 42%, shots finished 20-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alajuelense and 0.50 for Santa Ana.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Santa Ana?

Alajuelense 6-3 Santa Ana in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Santa Ana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 53%, draw 29%, Santa Ana 19%. The final score 6-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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