Alajuelense vs Santa Ana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alajuelense v Santa Ana — Team-Based Signals
Alajuelense 1-1 Santa Ana — Actual Match Statistics
Alajuelense and Santa Ana shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Alajuelense at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Alajuelense had 56% of the ball to Santa Ana's 44%, shots finished 14-10.
What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Santa Ana?
Alajuelense 1-1 Santa Ana in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Santa Ana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 69%, draw 18%, Santa Ana 12%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.