Puntarenas FC 2-3 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 29 Jul 2024

📅29/07/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
49%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.75
Over 2.5
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+7.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
49%
Away Win
56%
-7.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 60%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.35/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.93
+18% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
271 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puntarenas FC
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
06.05.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
14.01.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-0 HT 0-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
18.10.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 4-1 HT 1-1 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
14.08.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 2-4 HT 0-3 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
25.03.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 3-2 HT 3-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
26.01.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-0 HT 2-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
POST-MATCH Puntarenas FC vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa squeezed past Puntarenas FC 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo Saprissa as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Puntarenas FC and 3.00 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of Puntarenas FC vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Puntarenas FC 2-3 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puntarenas FC vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Puntarenas FC 26%, draw 25%, Deportivo Saprissa 49%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
29 Jul 2024
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