Deportivo Saprissa 3-0 Puntarenas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.3
Draw
29%
5.15
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
73%
-21.8pp
29%
Draw
16%
+12.3pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
2.73/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.13
+28% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
463 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Puntarenas FC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 4-1 HT 1-1 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
14.08.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 2-4 HT 0-3 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
25.03.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 3-2 HT 3-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
26.01.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-0 HT 2-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
05.09.2022 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
01.08.2022 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 1-1 HT 0-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
3-0
AWAY Puntarenas FC
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Saprissa vs Puntarenas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa ran out comfortable winners over Puntarenas FC 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo Saprissa as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Deportivo Saprissa had 59% of the ball to Puntarenas FC's 41%, shots finished 11-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Deportivo Saprissa and 1.17 for Puntarenas FC.

What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs Puntarenas FC?

Deportivo Saprissa 3-0 Puntarenas FC in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs Puntarenas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 51%, draw 29%, Puntarenas FC 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa)
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