Guanacasteca 1-0 Grecia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Grecia EU Bookmakers 24%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.52/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.85
-17% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guanacasteca
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Grecia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
12.11.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-0 HT 0-0 Grecia Grecia KOSTA
14.09.2023 Grecia Grecia 1-2 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
23.04.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 2-0 HT 1-0 Grecia Grecia KOSTA
22.02.2023 Grecia Grecia 1-1 HT 1-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
21.09.2022 Grecia Grecia 4-1 HT 1-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
20.04.2022 Grecia Grecia 3-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guanacasteca
1-0
AWAY Grecia
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guanacasteca vs Grecia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guanacasteca edged past Grecia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guanacasteca as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Guanacasteca had 65% of the ball to Grecia's 35%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Guanacasteca and 1.50 for Grecia.

What was the final score of Guanacasteca vs Grecia?

Guanacasteca 1-0 Grecia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guanacasteca vs Grecia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guanacasteca win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Guanacasteca 54%, draw 25%, Grecia 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guanacasteca), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guanacasteca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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14 Jan 2024
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