San Carlos 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Carlos EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +31%
1.11/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.21
-8% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Carlos
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.05.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 0-3 HT 0-2 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
04.03.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-2 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
30.10.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 HT 1-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
27.08.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
10.04.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 HT 2-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
10.02.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
POST-MATCH San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa squeezed past San Carlos 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Saprissa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for San Carlos and 1.83 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa?

San Carlos 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split San Carlos 31%, draw 25%, Deportivo Saprissa 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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