San Carlos 0-3 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+6.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-4.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Carlos EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +21%
1.40/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.32
+6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Carlos
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-2 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
30.10.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 HT 1-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
27.08.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
10.04.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 HT 2-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
10.02.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
15.08.2022 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-0 HT 1-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
POST-MATCH San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa ran out comfortable winners over San Carlos 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Saprissa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for San Carlos and 1.83 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa?

San Carlos 0-3 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Carlos win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split San Carlos 41%, draw 23%, Deportivo Saprissa 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (San Carlos), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Carlos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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