Municipal Liberia 1-0 Grecia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.29
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.61
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
73%
-7.5pp
17%
Draw
16%
+0.7pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Grecia EU Bookmakers 14%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.70/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/2.27
-21% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
480 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Grecia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Grecia Grecia 1-2 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
23.10.2023 Grecia Grecia 2-3 HT 2-2 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
21.08.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-1 HT 1-1 Grecia Grecia KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
1-0
AWAY Grecia
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs Grecia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia squeezed past Grecia 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Municipal Liberia as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 50% of the ball to Grecia's 50%, shots finished 19-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Municipal Liberia had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Municipal Liberia and 1.33 for Grecia.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Grecia?

Municipal Liberia 1-0 Grecia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Grecia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 65%, draw 17%, Grecia 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal Liberia), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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