Deportivo Saprissa 3-2 San Carlos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 19 Sep 2024

📅19/09/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.0pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY San Carlos EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +16%
2.06/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.23
+15% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
5W-1D-0L
AWAY San Carlos
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 4-0 HT 3-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
17.05.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
08.05.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 0-3 HT 0-2 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
04.03.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-2 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
30.10.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 HT 1-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
27.08.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
3-2
AWAY San Carlos
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Saprissa vs San Carlos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa squeezed past San Carlos 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Saprissa as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Saprissa had 46% of the ball to San Carlos's 54%, shots finished 11-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Deportivo Saprissa and 0.67 for San Carlos.

What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs San Carlos?

Deportivo Saprissa 3-2 San Carlos in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs San Carlos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 48%, draw 24%, San Carlos 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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