Deportivo Saprissa 4-0 San Carlos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-6.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY San Carlos EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
2.11/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.65
+10% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
5W-1D-0L
AWAY San Carlos
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
08.05.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 0-3 HT 0-2 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
04.03.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-2 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
30.10.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 HT 1-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
27.08.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
10.04.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 HT 2-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
4-0
AWAY San Carlos
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Saprissa vs San Carlos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa swept aside San Carlos 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo Saprissa as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Deportivo Saprissa had 52% of the ball to San Carlos's 48%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Deportivo Saprissa and 0.83 for San Carlos.

What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs San Carlos?

Deportivo Saprissa 4-0 San Carlos in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs San Carlos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 51%, draw 25%, San Carlos 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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