AS Agareb 1-4 Stade Gabesien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - Cup, 23 Mar 2026

📅23/03/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.1pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.5pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Agareb EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Gabesien EU Bookmakers 43%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Agareb
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Stade Gabesien
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
08.03.2025 Stade Gabesien Stade Gabesien 0-1 AS Agareb AS Agareb TUN2
POST-MATCH AS Agareb vs Stade Gabesien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Gabesien ran out comfortable winners over AS Agareb 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Stade Gabesien found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of AS Agareb vs Stade Gabesien?

AS Agareb 1-4 Stade Gabesien in the Tunisia - Cup on 23/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Agareb vs Stade Gabesien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stade Gabesien win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split AS Agareb 34%, draw 30%, Stade Gabesien 36%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Gabesien) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stade Gabesien) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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