Ajim Djerba 2-0 EM Mahdia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - Cup, 23 Mar 2026

📅23/03/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.19
No
49%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+5.0pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.8pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajim Djerba EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY EM Mahdia EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajim Djerba
2-0
AWAY EM Mahdia
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ajim Djerba vs EM Mahdia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajim Djerba got the better of EM Mahdia 2-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Ajim Djerba found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ajim Djerba had 39% of the ball to EM Mahdia's 61%, shots finished 12-19.

What was the final score of Ajim Djerba vs EM Mahdia?

Ajim Djerba 2-0 EM Mahdia in the Tunisia - Cup on 23/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajim Djerba vs EM Mahdia?

Before kick-off our model rated an EM Mahdia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ajim Djerba 33%, draw 27%, EM Mahdia 40%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (EM Mahdia) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TNUSK More Tunisia - Cup
23 Mar 2026
15:30 AS Agareb vs Stade Gabesien Analysis →
15:30 Baath Bouhajla vs US Ksour Sef Analysis →