Barrow 1-2 Bradford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 23 Apr 2024

📅23/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.38
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.91
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
12%
4.3
X/2
10%
6.73
X/X
18%
4.25
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
11%
5.41
2/X
6%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barrow EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford City EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +21%
1.26/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.29
-3% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
300 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 69%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
20.0 Crosses 16.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barrow
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Bradford City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.28 xG 1.08
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
238 Passes 364
67% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 1-2 HT 1-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
18.02.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 0-1 HT 0-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
06.08.2022 Barrow Barrow 3-2 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
01.01.2022 Barrow Barrow 1-2 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
18.09.2021 Bradford City Bradford City 1-1 HT 0-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
30.01.2021 Bradford City Bradford City 2-1 HT 1-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barrow
1-2
AWAY Bradford City
0.63 xG 1.38
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 8
205 Passes 316
62% Pass Accuracy 69%
13 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barrow vs Bradford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford City nicked a narrow win over Barrow 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Barrow at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barrow had 42% of the ball to Bradford City's 58%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.63 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barrow had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Barrow and 1.33 for Bradford City.

What was the final score of Barrow vs Bradford City?

Barrow 1-2 Bradford City in the England - 2nd Division on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barrow vs Bradford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barrow win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Barrow 42%, draw 30%, Bradford City 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barrow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İN2 More England - 2nd Division
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