Neuchatel Xamax 2-2 Wil 1900 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 23 Apr 2024

📅23/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.44
6+ Goals
8%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 30% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Wil 1900 EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
2.37/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.17
+12% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
20.0 Crosses 16.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Wil 1900
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.78 xG 0.79
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
432 Passes 271
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.03.2024 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 0-0 HT 0-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
03.11.2023 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 2-2 HT 0-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
22.09.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 2-0 HT 0-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
14.04.2023 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 0-1 HT 0-1 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
17.02.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 3-2 HT 1-1 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
18.11.2022 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 0-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neuchatel Xamax
2-2
AWAY Wil 1900
1.01 xG 1.08
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
509 Passes 281
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Neuchatel Xamax vs Wil 1900
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neuchatel Xamax and Wil 1900 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Neuchatel Xamax had 62% of the ball to Wil 1900's 38%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.01 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wil 1900 led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Neuchatel Xamax and 1.50 for Wil 1900.

What was the final score of Neuchatel Xamax vs Wil 1900?

Neuchatel Xamax 2-2 Wil 1900 in the Switzerland Challenge League on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neuchatel Xamax vs Wil 1900?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neuchatel Xamax win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Neuchatel Xamax 38%, draw 29%, Wil 1900 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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